FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.


Biden Is Currently Competitive In Georgia And Texas

Jun 29, 2020
45 min
The crew looks at new polling that shows the clearest picture so far of the presidential race in battleground states. It isn't good for Trump.
Jun 29, 2020 • 45 MIN

New Voter Registrations Have Nosedived During COVID-19

Jun 25, 2020
32 min
FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich and Kaleigh Rogers analyze data showing that the number of people registering to vote has fallen off a cliff during the coronavirus pandemic
Jun 25, 2020 • 32 MIN

Progressives Challenge The Democratic Establishment

Jun 22, 2020
48 min
The crew looks at the dynamic between Democratic upstarts and the establishment as primary voters head to the polls in New York and Kentucky.
Jun 22, 2020 • 48 MIN

Model Talk: Biden Leads Trump By 9 Nationally

Jun 18, 2020
41 min
In this edition of Model Talk, Nate and Galen discuss FiveThirtyEight's newly published presidential election polling averages.
Jun 18, 2020 • 41 MIN

Views Of BLM Have Shifted. What Happens Next?

Jun 15, 2020
53 min
The crew discusses the ways that public opinion on racism has changed during the past three weeks and ask how it will affect our politics.
Jun 15, 2020 • 53 MIN

The Protests Appear To Be Working

Jun 12, 2020
25 min
New York Times writer Mara Gay and FiveThirtyEight contributor Shom Mazumder join the podcast to discuss the efficacy of the anti-police violence protests so far.
Jun 12, 2020 • 25 MIN

Americans Don't Like How Trump Is Handling Multiple Crises

Jun 8, 2020
55 min
The podcast crew looks at President Trump's latest polling for handling the pandemic and mass protests. They also discuss why young voters aren't enthusiastic about Biden.
Jun 8, 2020 • 55 MIN

Protests, Then And Now

Jun 4, 2020
45 min
Prof. Yohuru Williams joins Perry Bacon Jr. and Galen Druke to discuss how today's anti-police violence protests compare with past protest movements.
Jun 4, 2020 • 45 MIN

The Data Behind Police Violence

Jun 1, 2020
59 min
Sam Sinyangwe joins the podcast to discuss police violence data and the politics of the protests that have spread across the country.
Jun 1, 2020 • 59 MIN

What The Veepstakes Say About Biden

May 28, 2020
34 min
Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss the process of choosing a VP and what that choice says about the candidate and the party.
May 28, 2020 • 34 MIN

Questions About Biden And Trump's Bases

May 26, 2020
61 min
The crew discusses a gaffe Biden made during a conversation about black voters and debates the findings of a new study about white working class voters in the 2016 election.
May 26, 2020 • 61 MIN

Show Me The Money(ball)

May 26, 2020
49 min
Hot Takedown looks at the negotiations between MLB players and owners, and examines why golf has already made a successful comeback. Plus one last Last Dance Rabbit Hole.
May 26, 2020 • 49 MIN

One Virus, A World Full Of Responses

May 21, 2020
44 min
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how many countries, with different political systems, handle a very similar crisis -- and how the public reacts.
May 21, 2020 • 44 MIN

Does Trump Really Want A Fight With Obama?

May 18, 2020
53 min
The crew looks at evidence that the coronavirus response has grown more partisan. They also discuss the rationale for an election year conflict between Obama and Trump.
May 18, 2020 • 53 MIN

Why COVID-19 Conspiracy Theories Are Spreading

May 14, 2020
45 min
Political scientist Joe Uscinski joins the podcast to discuss the spread of COVID-19 conspiracy theories -- why they've formed and what can be done about them.
May 14, 2020 • 45 MIN

Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide How We Reopen

May 11, 2020
48 min
The podcast crew discusses the politics and practicalities of states reopening amid the COVID-19 pandemic. They also consider which party is ahead in the race for the Senate.
May 11, 2020 • 48 MIN

What The 14.7% Unemployment Rate Means

May 8, 2020
32 min
Former Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Erica Groshen joins the podcast to discuss the latest jobs report, which showed a record unemployment level.
May 8, 2020 • 32 MIN

Biden Responds To Sexual Assault Allegations

May 4, 2020
60 min
The team discusses the politics of Tara Reade's accusations of sexual assault against Biden and Biden's denial. They also weigh the impact of a Justin Amash run for president.
May 4, 2020 • 60 MIN

The U.S. Is Starting To Reopen. Is It Ready?

Apr 30, 2020
36 min
States around the country are beginning to reopen. Professor Crystal Watson of the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health discusses the systems they should have in place.
Apr 30, 2020 • 36 MIN

Is COVID-19 Already Hurting Trump Politically?

Apr 27, 2020
55 min
The crew analyzes recent data showing Trump losing ground in swing states. They also ask how much reactions to the pandemic have been based on partisanship.
Apr 27, 2020 • 55 MIN

Model Talk: Forecasting The Toll Of COVID-19

Apr 22, 2020
42 min
Dr. Chris Murray, creator of the frequently cited IHME COVID-19 model, joins a special edition of Model Talk.
Apr 22, 2020 • 42 MIN

What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?

Apr 20, 2020
62 min
The crew discusses why protests against COVID-19 mitigation measures have popped up around the country. They also weigh the pros and cons of Biden's potential VP picks.
Apr 20, 2020 • 62 MIN

How To Hold An Election During A Crisis

Apr 16, 2020
51 min
What has the United States done to ensure elections continue during past crises and what can the country do now to ensure this fall's election goes smoothly?
Apr 16, 2020 • 51 MIN

Our 2020 Election Priors

Apr 13, 2020
52 min
Now that Democrats have settled on Joe Biden, the crew discusses their priors for the presidential general election. They also track where we are in the COVID-19 pandemic.
Apr 13, 2020 • 52 MIN

Emergency Podcast: Sanders Drops Out

Apr 8, 2020
30 min
The crew reacts to Sen. Bernie Sanders's decision to suspend his campaign for president.
Apr 8, 2020 • 30 MIN

Wisconsin's Election Is A Mess

Apr 6, 2020
53 min
The crew digs into the challenges facing Wisconsin's election, given partisanship and the COVID-19 pandemic. They also take stock of where we are in the arc of the crisis.
Apr 6, 2020 • 53 MIN

Why It's So Hard To Forecast The Impact Of COVID-19

Apr 2, 2020
33 min
FiveThirtyEight's science writer Maggie Koerth and quantitative editor Laura Bronner join the podcast to discuss the challenges of modeling the impact of COVID-19.
Apr 2, 2020 • 33 MIN

Why Trump's Approval Rating Has Increased

Mar 30, 2020
50 min
The crew discusses where we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis, how Americans are rating the president's performance, and the significance of the DPA.
Mar 30, 2020 • 50 MIN

COVID-19 Broke The Jobless Claims Chart

Mar 26, 2020
34 min
Economics reporter Ben Casselman joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the stunning unemployment claims numbers from last week.
Mar 26, 2020 • 34 MIN

How COVID-19 Is -- And Isn't -- Changing Politics

Mar 23, 2020
51 min
The crew discusses how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting the politics of Washington, D.C. and how it's disrupting the 2020 presidential race.
Mar 23, 2020 • 51 MIN